May 18, 2025

Total U.S. births, 2024. See any trends?

I've posted about the fatal drop in white births in the U.S,--that if any group or nation wants to keep its population stable, the average female needs to have 2.1 children (to account for the fact that a tiny percentage of females die before reaching child-bearing age).  This is the "replacement rate."

Problem is, whites in the U.S. aren't doing that.  Oh the total population is increasing, but the entire increase is due to immigrants--mostly illegal.  The "total fertility rate" for American citizens is about 1.7 children per woman, but for whites it's about 1.4--which is FAR below the replacement rate.

But because most young Americans are no longer proficient in even the most basic "maff." I don't think that "computes."  But maybe the graphic below will make the point:   

 

Note that the number of males up to 4 years old is about three million fewer than were born in 1990, and about the same for girls.  The yellow lines represent the number surviving over time.  They're tilted due to deaths due to accident, disease, murders and--for males--combat.  The line for males is tilted more because more males die at every age from all those factors.

And keep in mind the graphic above is for ALL U.S. births.  (I'll try to find the same for white births but I doubt that's been done.)

The graphic below adds the trend lines on births.  As you see, if current trends continue, 20 years from now U.S. births will be down much more.  And again, that's ALL U.S. births.

But don't worry, citizen.  The debt bomb will explode in about ten years so anything beyond that is moot, eh?.