What's up in Ukraine?

A few of you may have seen that bidenfail has ordered that 31 of our largest, most-advanced battle tanks be sent to Ukraine.  What does this mean to you?

If you're a typical Democrat you just shrugged.  After all, Russia invaded that country, and they've fired missiles into apartment buildings, destroyed cities and killed thousands.  So this is clearly a fight between good and evil, and if we don't help the Ukes defeat the Russians there, next thing you know they'll be laying seige to Paris.

It's a very persuasive argument--like the "domino theory" back in the Vietnam war.  And even "war skeptics" acknowledge that the Russians attacked Ukraine when the Ukes hadn't done anything.  (Actually that's not *quite* right but we'll leave that for another time.)

So Americans were happy to do anything they could to help the innocent Ukes.  Got it.  We can't stand by and let brutal aggression win, right?  Got it.  And to that end your Democrat rulers have given that unfortunate nation well over $100 Billion, and advanced American missiles, to defeat the Russians. So why would 31 tanks be any more of a provocation, eh?

But some of biden's less-intelligent lackeys (yeah, big club), like Defense chief Lloyd Austin, have been making stupid, provocative statements about the war.  So instead of saying "We urge Russia to withdraw and put a stop to the pointless destruction and death," he said "The point of the war is to weaken Russia.”  

And the Russians listened.

To "weaken Russia" early last year the biden regime imposed sanctions, stopping western/NATO nations from buying Russian oil and gas, and banned Russia from using the western system of economic transfers.  

That apparently wasn't forceful enough, so astonishingly, the U.S. blew up both Russian-owned Nordstream gas pipelines to Europe--both full of half a million TONS of high-pressure methane. 

(Yes, a U.S. Navy P-8 really did it.  We've got the radar tracks, and a normally-hidden code from the transponder of the Navy P-8 aircraft that carried out the attack.  For non-pilots, a transponder is a box that, when "pinged" by a ground radar, transmits a reply showing the aircraft's callsign, altitude and speed.  It replaces the faint "skin paint" of the plane with a big flag saying "here I am."

(Of course transponders can be turned off, and this one was.  But in civilian aircraft, even when the transponder is turned off it continues to reply to pings from ground radar, just not with callsign, altitude and speed, but by transmitting a six-digit "hex-code" unique to that airplane.)

(Now: In a plane designed exclusively for the military, turning off the transponder kills that response.  But the P-8 was is actually a military version of the Boeing 737-800.  Since it was originally a civilian jetliner, it's highly likely that no one at Boeing thought to change the wiring so that turning off the transponder would also stop it from replying with the hex-code.  Indeed, it's likely that no engineer at Boeing even knew about this feature of transponders.

(And it wouldn't have occurred to Navy procurement officers that the transponder in any plane sold to the military would still transmit the normally-hidden hex-code when the transponder was turned off, since purely military aircraft don't do that.  End of lesson.)

In any case, the result of biden's sanctions and blowing up the pipelines has had the opposite of the intended effect on Russia's economy.  When biden sanctions made western nations stop buying Russian oil and gas, Russia simply started selling those products to China and other Asian nations.  Banning Russia from using the SWIFT global payments system prompted the BRIC countries to start their own electronic trade settlement system.

By huge contrast, the U.S. economy is beginning to crash:  Four of the largest, most profitable U.S. companies have announced firings of over 40,000 employees, and smaller companies are doing the same.  Only Democrats believe the regime's lies about huge numbers of jobs being created.

With U.S. debt at a staggering $32 TRILLION, the corrupt congress continues to spend more than the government takes in, every year.  They pass cunningly mis-titled laws like the absurd so-called "Inflation Reduction Act," submitted by the regime and passed without a single GOP amendment even being considered.  And there's not a prayer of any of this changing.

Democrat voter: "Dat not a problem!  Democrat leaders smaht!  We kin borrow and spend as much as we want, wif no problems.  Cuz Democrats smaht!  We only scream about spending when Orange Man want to build wall.  Cuz walls baaaad."

So from an economic perspective, despite having a huge economy, our huge national debt grows larger every day--by billions of dollars.  How long can that continue?

But there’s an even bigger worry here:  Despite Russia's far smaller economy, Russia still has a strong national identity and a coherent culture.  By contrast, the U.S. has lost its national identity to the horseshit communist-pushed goal of "diversity, equity and inclusion,” which is actually just a huge grift allowing cunning liberals to make millions by charging "wokie" companies to flog employees with white guilt.

Ah, you don't believe that?  Consider that a big goal of this "flogging white guilt" is to allow Democrat pols to appoint "commissions" to recommend paying money to blacks.  In California the state commission demanded that taxpayers pay every black in the state $250,000.

Not to be out-done, liberals in San Francisco named their own commission, which recommended NOT a paltry $250,000 per black, but a MILLION bucks to every black person in the state.

Hahahaha!  Just kidding!  Why should blacks settle for a lousy million bucks, eh?  The actual amount demanded by San Francisco's "commission" of blacks is...wait for it...five million dollars--to every black in the state.  In a state where slavery never existed.

Where do the liberals/Democrats think that cash will come from, eh?

Democrats: "Duh fed'rul gummint will gib it to us, of course!  Cuz our wonderful Democrat Party gots ta have duh electoral votes from California, so dey gots to gib us duh cash!  Cuz dey kin jus' print as much as dey want anyway."

And speaking of rackets: Watch for a new con from the NY Times, claiming that stories from Hunter's laptop showing that he and joe sold access to duh vice-prez, and now preznit, are actually just "conspiracy theories" pushed by right-wing extremists--all white, of course.  So all minorities need to circle the wagons and vote Democrat.

SO...back to Ukraine:  Broadly speaking there are 3 possible outcomes.  1. Russia could withdraw; 2. Russia could eventually force the Ukes to surrender; or 3. some sort of "armistice" in which the two sides stay in place but fighting stops.  So let's examine each.

Putin's background suggests he won't withdraw, even if he has to conscript another million Russian fighters.  Too much loss of face to withdraw.

So if that's out, it leaves two possible outcomes: either the Ukes surrender, or armistice.

What are the chances of the biden regime pushing the Ukes to accept an armistice?  And if biden did, what are the chances of the Ukes agreeing?

Sure: zero.  The Democrats have too much invested in the idea that if we just keep pouring weapons into the fight--like those 31 M-1 "main battle tanks," or F-16s--the Ukes can defeat the Russians.  And hey, it *could* happen.  After all, in our Civil War southern troops made it as far north as Gettysburg, right?  

But eventually the North's huge advantage in industrial output and population produced the predicted result.

The OMG outcome in Ukraine is if Putin concludes Russia can't win as long as the U.S. keeps supplying more advanced weapons to the Ukes, but refuses to withdraw, he could use battlefield nukes--to send a message to biden to stop giving the Ukes weapons.

Democrats: "Putin not dat stupid!  He would nevah do dat!"

Ah.  Say, are you the same people who, when Putin clearly said Russia wouldn't tolerate Ukraine joining NATO, ignored that, and welcomed biden allowing NATO to offer the Ukes membership--even as 250,000 Russian troops were massed on Ukraine's border with Russia?  

Yeah, you guys have a *great* track record of predicting stuff.

Now: Obviously it doesn't matter if we can predict with utter certainty the result of biden moves, and that doing X will result in disaster--because the biden/harris/Dem regime will do whatever the fuck it wants to, regardless of what the American people want.  And if you doubt that, recall the order that every American take the experimental jab, or be fired.  Illegal as hell, but they did it anyway.

And of course the NY Times and WaPo and MSNBC and CNN will convince Americans that a huge majority of voters support any decision the regime makes.  

So brace yourselves, citizens, cuz NO Democrat is even thinking about trying to stop biden and the leaders of the Dem party from continuing to do what they've been doing.

So to review: The Ukes could surrender.  Or Putin could  accept an armistice--but only if the Ukes agree to offer one.  If neither of the above, Putin would be left with having to choose between continuing to fight (against increasing U.S. weaponry), or quietly asking for an armistice (which the Ukes would immediately publicize as a victory for them), or withdrawing.  If faced with that choice he may well decide to use "tactical" nukes.

Democrat: "Dat not possible!  Putin nevah do dat!  He too smaht!"

Ah.  And how have your predictions worked out so far?