January 28, 2023

Some analysts think duh Chyna virus and Dem policies have started a fatal exodus from Dem cities

Duh wokies tell us dat "Math beez raaaacis'.  It's not, of course.  It's color-blind, just like a wrench is.  

What math IS is a tool, one that enables people proficient with it to correlate, explain and predict things.  Thus it has a  power, and the ability to DO math is what lets us predict the coming death of most of the big Democrat-run cities.

The death is accomplished by a thing called a "feedback loop."  That's where an *effect* of some policy or event in turn influences the same system the policy or event governs.

After duh Chyna virus hit, huge numbers of fairly high-wage workers were ordered to work from their suburban homes.  Many liked that, and many companies realized they didn't need the whole workforce in the office every day.

But if a company only makes, say, a quarter of its employees come in to the office on any given day, that hits the restaurant and retail businesses downtown hard.

The Democrats' tolerance of violence and crime also made living in the blue cities less attractive--and the huge riots and city-burnings of the BLM/George Floyd riots sealed the deal.  All these factors caused some workers to move to the suburbs.

When high-income earners move out, the city loses not just their city income-tax revenue (3.1 to 3.9% in NYC) but also the sales tax revenue they used to generate from dining and shopping.  The net effect is huge--billions.

A drop in office-space rent revenue reduces city income further.  Public transit revenue falls.

But one thing does increase: crime, as Democrat pols continue to releases muggers and carjackers without making them post bail.  This increase, in turn, prompts more residents to flee, worsening revenue loss.

Few shoppers are willing to step over junkies and walk down sidewalks littered with needles and human waste to enter a store, cutting sales tax revenue still further.

Now you probably haven't noticed, but cities spend every dollar from taxes and fees that they take in.  So a drop in revenue means the city either has to cut services or raise taxes--and both those increase the incentive for residents to flee--worsening the loss of tax revenue to the city.
 
So, do we see this happening?  Yes.

Nike is leaving anarchic, antifa-controlled Seattle. So is a Regal Cinema multiplex, located in the "CHOP autonomous zone."

The reason? Too much crime, too many homeless skels shooting heroin and sh!tting in the streets.  You'd think the city would clear 'em out, but the city does nothing--and liberal, Democrat voters seems to support that.

The Democrat mayor of DC, Muriel Bowser, is warning Biden that DC has seen a drop in revenue due to hundreds of thousands of people not having to come to their offices every weekday. She's asked Porridgebrain to order all federal employees back to their offices, because DC businesses can't survive without the normal daily foot-traffic.

Of course Porridge and his handlers aren't eager to force employees back to the office since that would undermine Democrats' claims that there's still a "continuing health emergency."  But perhaps more crucial for biden is that sending federal employees--overwhelmingly Democrat--back to the office would anger them and risk losing Dem control of the senate.

One of the best indicators that people are fleeing NYC is that in 2022 enrollment had dropped ten percent from 2020.

That loss translates directly into a loss of state money, which is based on enrollment.  City pols can't reduce the number of teachers without losing support of the teachers' union, so they'll have to get the money by raising taxes or cutting services.

So it turns out that the huge wreckage caused by duh Chyna virus has started a chain reaction: Democrat pols will be forced to raise taxes AND cut services, causing more people to flee, further reducing city revenue.

It's a vicious circle that doesn't seem likely to reverse any time soon, if ever.  

But hey, I could be wrong.  Besides, maff beez raaaacis'.

Source. 

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