May 02, 2021

Fraud? Never heard of it.

During the election last November many Americans saw such obvious suggestions of election fraud that any rational person would want to investigate.  Jay Valentine, who has a background in fraud detection, in the insurance business, Medicaid and cyber fraud, did that. 

He says the more his team examined tabulated vote data, the more characteristics they found that were similar to insurance fraud.  So his team has been examining mail-in ballots, specifically the addresses reported to Secretaries of State.

A truck driver named Jesse Morgan claimed he drove an 18-wheeler loaded with about 100,000 filled-out ballots from New York to Pennsylvania.  Question is, is it possible to show this is probably true?

Consider that to be *legally* counted, every one of those ballots must have a person’s name, date of birth and address.  So while Democrats can claim Morgan is either lying or mistaken, they cannot hide the record of the ballot.

Imagine you wanted to fake 100,000 ballots.  Even with people helping you it’s daunting, since every ballot has to tie to a name and an address.  If you and your friends are filling out 100,000 ballots with Biden circles, do you think every one of the fraudsters would take the time to use a different real address for every one of those fake votes?  Or would they be more likely to use a small group of names and addresses over and over, confident that no one would ever do the hard work of logging all the names and addresses to see how many matched?  You get the picture.

What about birth dates?  Would they use a different one every time?  Would it be likely to match the real birthdate of the person whose name they were using?  

Valentine says his team is getting reports that some Secretaries of State are changing data on mail-in ballots, erasing data showing that tens of thousands of ballots were reportedly received by the state election boards before they were mailed to voters.

(For you liberals out there, it's obviously not possible for main-in ballots to be received FROM voters before a state election board mailed those ballots to the voters in the first place.)

According to Valentine, large-scale fraud data is really hard to hide--unless the fraudsters can control any investigation.  He claims that if fraudsters try to alter data to hide the fraud, the alteration itself points to exactly what they're trying to hide.  The only way to keep from being discovered is to simply erase all the data.

He says fraudsters--whether election fraud or insurance fraud--exhibit what he calls "cultural affinities"--the folks who do it all know each other. It also has geographic patterns and links to a small number of people who deliver the overwhelming amount of fraud.

For example, Valentine says his team broke a major insurance fraud ring carried out be a group of Somali immigrants, living in the same building, driving the same car.  They clearly all knew each other.  He claims this type of behavior occurs in most organized fraud: the fraudsters don’t bring in strangers, but bring in friends and family. This kind of relationship shows up as a hot spot in data visualization.

In fraud analysis, connections are everything.  Massive fraud usually involves a few dozen people creating lots of fraudulent ballots, so his team looks for statistical anomalies, like 634 people with the same birthday, including the year, living at seven addresses.  And most of the addresses turn out to be vacant lots, or a businesses, or a mailbox at a UPS store.  

But hey, you don't care, right?  Cuz CNN, MSNBC, ABC, CBS, NBC and all the rest of the Lying Mainstream Media keep telling you how utterly wonderful it is to have the sweet, smart Biden*Harris regime in power, with control of both chambers of congress.  What's not to like?

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