April 27, 2024

CNN: "fertility rate" in the U.S. has fallen to the lowest in a century." Here's what they don't say...

Not one American in 5,000 is even remotely proficient with math--mainly because the schools stopped teaching serious math around 1970, after the communists who ran (and continue to run) the "college of education" at Hahvahd and Yale bleated that now that every kid in the U.S. had a calculator, there was no longer a need to teach maff.  An' besides, maff beez raaaacis!"

We need that background because unless you're proficient with maff you won't understand the significance of what you're about to read:

The fertility rate in the United States is now the lowest it’s been in more than a century.

Of course leftists are delighted.  "Duh Erf's got way too many pipo!  So duh U.S. needs to lead by example!  We needs ta stop havin' dem kids!"

Oh, you bet, sparky.  Cuz Africans and Muslims and Chinese totally take their cues from what Americans do, right?

What utter horseshit.  They'll keep having lotsa kids, as usual.  And Democrat pols will keep allowing 2.5 million illegal invaders into the U.S. every year.

The U.S. birthrate has been falling for decades.  Or as the cunning leftists at CNN phrase it, "trending down."  Cuz the term "falling" might alarm a few voters, but "trending down" is SO gentle that it doesn't alarm anyone, eh?

Now: the key metric for having kids is called the "total fertility rate" (TFR). In theory if women have an average of 2.08 children, the population will stay constant.  Having 2.08 kids is called the "replacement rate," and it's slightly greater than 2.0 because a small number of children die before having children themselves.

If Americans were having way more kids than the "replacement rate"--the number of births that keeps the population steady--then lower birthrates might be desirable.  So...for young Americans and Democrats: are births in the entire U.S. population above or below the replacement rate?

First, that information is almost impossible to find.  Seriously.  The CNN article--supposedly about birthrates--never mentions it.  And if you think that's an accident you're too naive to breathe.

If you search for "TFR" you'll find an avalanche of figures, but 99% are given as "35 births per thousand" or some such.  Useless.

Of course six government agencies know the TFR of every race in the U.S. to three damn decimal places.  They just don't want you to know it--because it would change your worldview in a way the Democrats don't like.  For one thing it would trigger a huge backlash against the biden regime for continuing to keep the southern border wide open.

The closest most of you will ever get to finding the truth is that the "overall U.S. TFR is now 1.7 births per female." But crucially, that statistic doesn't list TFR by race.  That's not an accident.

If you dig deeper you'll find that the TFR for blacks and Hispanics are both higher than 2.08--meaning those populations are increasing, even before considering illegals being welcomed into the U.S. by the Democrats of the biden regime.

Average American: "Wait...how can the TFR for the entire U.S. population possibly be 1.7 if black and Hispanic women are having (on average) more than 2.08 kids each?"

Ooohh, good catch, sparky.  Very few people catch that.  Think about that for a minute.

If you guessed that the TFR for whites is now FAR below the replacement rate, congratulations.  

So the next logical question is "How far below replacement is the "total fertility rate" for whites?"

Good luck finding that number.  You'll have to wade thru hundreds of articles that leftist Google lists as "hits" for "TFR" before you'll finally find it.  And as of last year it's 1.54.  And it's dropped since then.

Average American: "Wait...if the "replacement rate" is 2.08, wouldn't 1.54 mean the number of whites in the U.S. is...uh...falling?"

Gruberment propagandist: "What makes you think that, citizen?  You clearly don't understand maff.  You've probably been reading "right-wing violent domestic extremist" sites like the UPenn Wharton Business School, and you think their numbers are right.  But those numbers don't mean what you think they mean!  See, we know you don't know how numbers work, but we do know, cuz we smaht.  Got it?"

No, government liar, the numbers from UPenn's Wharton Business School are totally accurate.  You're the one who's lying and hiding the numbers--to protect Democrats like the corrupt vegetable and his supporters who are keeping the southern border wide open.

Now here's the hoot:  Tens of millions of people have a kind of momentum, like an avalanche, or a drifting 200,000-ton container-ship.  It's damn near impossible to alter the course of either.  And in this case, the huge gap between the TFR of whites in the U.S. and the "replacement rate" would take a century or so to reverse even if we wanted to.

Here's a peer-reviewed paper published by your gruberment 21 years ago (2003) that's as close to reality as you'll find: 

By 1990 less-educated blacks [had] the highest fertility (TFR = 2.2–2.4), educated whites and blacks [had] the lowest fertility (TFR = 1.6–1.8).

That paper was from wokies who were trying to push the theory that ALL differences in TFR were due solely to "educational achievement," so reeeally dere wudn't nuffin to be concern 'bout, citizen, cuz as soon as "educational differences" vanished, the TFRs would "converge."

Can you say "Reasoning to the reassuring result you wanted"?  Yeah, thought you could.

And that paper was from 21 years ago.  Today the latest TFR I've found for whites--as of two years ago--is 1.54.  And based on the trend line it's almost certainly under 1.48 today.

Of course the Left is delighted--as are all my liberal friend and siblings.  "Dere's too many pipo on Erf," they bleat.  For the sake of argument let's assume that's true.  But of course what you're getting from the unforgiving trends is NOT fewer people on Earth, but fewer white people.  

Again, the Left is delighted: "See, whites use way mo' of duh Erf's precious resources den uddah pipo, so it reeeally gud to have fewer whites!"

In that case you Leftists have gotten your wish.  Like trying to stop a massive ship, the numbers of people who comprise the TFR are so massive that it would take over a century to reverse them.  So if you loved the country you grew up in, say goodbye to it, cuz it's already "majority-minority."  

Wait...I hear my siblings bleating that this is a "right-wing scare story."  Nope.  Two years ago whites became less than half the population of the U.S.  And thanks to massive illegal invasion courtesy of the biden regime and all its supporters, and the higher TFRs of minorities, that percentage is dropping every day.

Average American:  "Dis can't possibly be true!  If TFR is as crucial as you claim, then if the TFR for white was so much lower than for other races, the Media would have said something!  Since they haven't, you must by lying!"

Hahahahahahahahaha!  Love it!  "If X was important, duh Media wud have tol' us!"

Sure, sparky.

I suspect not one of you ever even heard the term "TFR" before ten minutes ago.  Yet that's a HUGE telltale for your kids' future.  Think there's a reason you never heard of this crucial term before?

[Crickets.  Liberals' brains processing.  Smoke pouring from the ears of the ones who have even a basic grasp of maff, and trend lines.]

Now if you're an adult--rational or otherwise-- obviously you get to make whatever decisions you want about your own life.  (Well, except when the Dem regime orders you to take an experimental injection, or anything else.)  But what adults rarely realize is that the decisions you make today force your children to live with the consequences of those decisions.  

That's such a new concept to most of you that I'll pause for a moment to let you process it.

Today--as every day for the last 50 years, regardless of which party has the presidency--Democrats, socialists, Leftists and communists are making decisions, passing laws and "rules," giving orders that are sentencing every American to a future most of you won't recognize.

Democrats, the Left, communists and socialists will love it.  "We won!" they'll crow.  The rich won't care, since they'll continue to live on their huge plantations (like Obozo's $14-million estate on Martha's Vineyard) and in their gated communities with armed guards.

But if you're a middle-class, hard-working American, you almost certainly won't like it.

So what happens then, eh?

If you're a smart, fit, hard-working guy or gal, would you want to have kids when the Left exalts and protects the thugs and druggies and crazies, and makes you and your kids pay to support 'em?

Leftists: "Sure dey wud!  Duh deplorables haz always been duh ones who haz duh chirren an' pays duh taxes, so dey still gonna do dat even if we tax the hell out of 'em to support ouah voters!"

Really?

Source for "record low birthrate"

https://www.cnn.com/2024/04/24/health/us-birth-rate-decline-2023-cdc/index.html

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