CDC confirms U.S. birthrate now at lowest in history. Why? And why it's worse than they think

Over two decades ago (2002) conservative Pat Buchanan wrote a book titled "The Death of the West," in which he warned "First world nations are dying.”

Buchanan was referring to fertility rates, which have been on the decline for decades.

Last Thursday that was reinforced when the CDC released data showing U.S. birth rates are at historic lows: women in the U.S. are having an average of 1.6 children over their lifetime.  That number is called the "Total fertility rate."

For those new to the topic, to keep a population level each woman needs to have, on average, 2.08 children (usually rounded to 2.1).  So 1.6 is civilizational suicide. 

Don't confuse the TFR with the "general fertility rate, which is the number of births per 1,000 females ages 15-44 and is utterly useless except for showing trends.  And sure enough, in the U.S. that trend rate has dropped a staggering 22% between 2007 and 2024.

Also, don't be misled by the statement by communist sons of whores who assure you that a TFR far below replacement level is NOT a cause for concern, by telling you that the number of U.S. births increased by roughly 1 percent between 2023 and 2024.  "SEE, deplorable?  Dere's no reason to be concerned!"  But total births rose because over 11 millions illegal immigrants entered the U.S. during bribem's ghastly open-borders reign, plus another few million legal immigrants...and their children count toward total births.  Does that surprise ya?

For the same reason, the "official" TFR of 1.6 children per woman *includes all children of immigrants, both legal an illegal.  So the TFR for native-born women is WAY lower than 1.6.

How low is it?  You can't find that number. Obviously the government has that statistic, but they're not saying.  Try to find it and let me know if you do.
 
Many factors together account for why births to women of European origin are so low.  First, more women are delaying marriage, or staying single for life, because the Media have been sneering at motherhood since the 1970s.  The Media and Hollywood have implied that marriage and motherhood are a form of slavery, and instead have glamorized the drama of corporate life--"far more exciting than being a stay-at-home mom!"

And many women who do marry are often choosing to have just one child, since that means far more disposable income for vacations, second homes, luxury cars and so on.

In any case the result is that the percentage of Americans of European origin is steadily dropping.

As Buchanan warned over two decades ago, if a population group doesn't have an average of 2.08 children per woman, it will eventually vanish.

Obviously the U.S. can always import labor.  But importing labor obviously doesn't import a culture or a heritage, a set of values that will help the republic endure.  Any country that replaces its population with people from somewhere else eventually becomes something else entirely.  If you're curious to know what that something else is, look at the recent riots in Los Angeles.

In any case, whatever replaces American will be...vastly different.from what we've known.

Of course in the 19th and 20th centuries millions of immigrants—Germans, Italians, Poles, Irish and others—successfully assimilated, often within a single generation.  That's because they shared a foundation of cultural and social values, and religion.

But since the Immigration and Nationality Act of 1965 that assimilation process has broken down.  And the one thing that would be expected to make assimilation desirable has been undermined by the left: wanting to be American.  

The left hates the idea that America is exceptional, instead claiming America is evil.  And that's had exactly the effect you could have predicted.

Birth rates to American of European roots are now far below the replacement level--it's civilizational suicide.  And while our civilization chooses not to have enough children to sustain itself, members of other civilizations will take over.

They just won’t be American.

Source: The Federalist

https://thefederalist.com/2025/07/25/american-birth-rates-rates-drop-to-levels-of-civilizational-suicide/